JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) – Three months ahead 2019 Presidential Election, the two candidates have not succeeded in contesting through ideas and surgery programs, said Executive Director of the Indikator Politik Institute Burhanuddin Muhtadi in Jakarta, on Wednesday (01/30).
According to him, Joko Widodo – Ma’ruf Amin still fails to socialize their superior infrastructure program, while Prabowo Subianto – Sandiaga Uno has not succeeded in providing solutions to the policies they criticize,
“Widodo himself has a problem socializing what has been done, the second is what will be done beforehand, it has not been delivered. Whereas Subianto is still imprisoned by the conditions made by the incumbents, but they have not yet offered them what to do,” he said.
That’s why the swing and undecided voters percentage is still high at around 25 percent. This figure is based on a survey of Political Indicators in last December 2018. The survey results show the biggest electability difference, which is 20.1 percent.
The details of Widodo – Amin electability are 54.9 percent and Subianto – Uno is 34.8 percent. While the remaining 9.2 percent of respondents did not make a choice and 1.1 percent chose not to choose between both or white groups (abstentions).
This survey was conducted on Dec. 6-16, 2018 and involved 1,220 respondents with multistage random sampling throughout Indonesia. The survey method used is face-to-face interviews by interviewers. While the margin of error averaged 2.9 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent.
According to Muhtadi, to cuts the percentage of swing voters, the candidates must dare to compete with potential ideas and superior programs. The winning team of the candidates, added Muhtadi, are still trapped in campaigning for sensational issues, forgetting that many voters do not yet know the candidate’s flagship program.
“It’s still about three months’ battle. The difference of 20 percent is not safe for the Widodo-Amin. Anything can happen until polling day on April 17, 2019. Especially if the opposition is able to offer a measurable solution to the failure of incumbents in various sectors,” he said.
Furthermore, Muhtadi emphasized that the two candidates could also use the presidential debate stage to increase the electability. The important thing is that both candidates want to exchange ideas, offer and refute the vision and mission proposed.
Muhtadi noted that the influence of the debate on electability can be seen from a number of regional elections and the 2014 Presidential Election. Debate performances help candidates win the contest.
In addition to Indikator Politik, other survey institutions that have presented the survey results are the Media Survei Nasional (Median). The Median survey results recorded a difference between the two candidates as much as 9.2 percent with details of Widodo-Amin 47.9 percent and Subianto-Uno 38.7 percent.
In contrast to Indikator Politik, the Median survey shows the difference between the two candidates is now thinning, leaving only a single digit difference.
“The difference in electability or electoral distance is relatively thinning. The voice of the Widodo-Amin is relatively stagnant, while Subianto-Uno is growing but is relatively slow,” said Median Executive Director Rico Marbun in Jakarta.
Previously, in November 2018, the level of electability of Widodo-Amin was 47.7 percent, while the contender was 35.5 percent. As a result, the electability rate of both candidates was still 12.2 percent.
Reportedly, this survey was conducted on Jan. 6 to 15, 2019 against 1,500 respondents with a margin of error of 2.5 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent. Respondents were chosen randomly by multistage random sampling technique.
Written by Lexy Nantu, Email: firstname.lastname@example.org