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Japan’s Largest-ever Stimulus Unlikely Offset a Sharp Economic Slowdown

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - As the number of new COVID-19 cases has accelerated rapidly over the past 10 days in Japan, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe declared...

COVID-19 Recession to be Deeper than 2008 – 2009

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - This interim global forecast is the second prepared in March and is much more pessimistic than our March 17 regularly scheduled outlook. It...

US Scramble for Resources in COVID-19 Response

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Based on new IHS Markit data, the United States (US) shortage of medical supplies is being exacerbated by trade disruptions from the...

COVID-19: Sharp Reduction in Near-term Growth

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - IHS Markit estimates that global growth in 2020 will be 1.7 percent, compared with 2.5 percent in our February baseline, and 2.7 percent...

Global Economy Makes Solid Start to 2020

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - The rate of global economic expansion accelerated to a ten month high in January, as growth strengthened in both the manufacturing and service...

Wuhan Virus: Economic Risks to the Asia-Pacific Region

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - The outbreak of a SARS-like coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in Wuhan is developing into a major potential economic risk to the Asia - Pacific region...

IHS Markit Sees Steady Growth If US, Iran Conflict Contained

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - IHS Markit sees the United States (US) and Iran conflict has been limited, suggesting the impact on global economic growth will...

Indonesia’s FM Sees Phase-One Deal Give Certainty

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Indonesian finance minister Sry Mulyani Indrawati sees the signing of phase one deal between the world’s two largest economies, United States...

Global Dividend Payouts to Increase 5.5% in 2020

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Total dividend payouts are expected to hit $1.9 trillion in 2020, an increase of 5.5 percent from 2019, according to a...

Japan’s Current Account Surplus Widens in November

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Japan’s current account surplus rose by 75.0 percent year on year (y/y) to ¥1.4 trillion (US$16.0 billion) in November, and seasonally...

India’s Economic Growth to Touchs the Lowest Level Since Global Financial...

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Indian real GDP growth in the 2019 - 2020 financial year is estimated to moderate to a pace of 5.0 percent year on...

IHS Markit Cuts Global Recession Probability to One in Five

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - After weakening considerably in 2019, global growth is expected to stabilize at a rate of 2.5 percent in 2020 before edging...

IHS Markit: US-China “Phase One” Trade Deal Positive on Asian Exporters

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - IHS Markit opined if a first stage United States (US) - China trade deal can be finalized that cancels plans to...

Stronger Domestic Demand Leads to Upside Revision for Japan’s Real GDP...

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Japan’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the third quarter (3Q) was revised up to 0.4 percent quarter to quarter...

Japan’s Trade Balance Turns to Surplus in October

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Japan’ trade balance turned to surplus of JPY17 billion (US$156.64 million) in October on a non-seasonally adjusted basis as imports declined faster (down...

The Global Economy Downward Pressure has Eased

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - The past month has seen some relief in the unrelentingly downbeat news on the global economy. There seems to be an uneasy cessation...

Indonesian Manufacturing Activity Deteriorates for Four Years

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Indonesia’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell to 47.7 in October, down from 49.1 in September, to indicate the sharpest deterioration of...

South Korea’s GDP growth in Q3 2019 moderates to 0.4% q/q

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - South Korea’ GDP growth rate moderated to a pace of 0.4 percent in third quarter (Q3) of 2019, according to the Advance Estimate...

Japan’s trade deficits for August narrow from a year ago

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Japan’ trade deficit narrowed by 69.6 percent in annual basis (YoY) to JPY136.3 billion (US$1.3 billion) in August on a non-seasonally adjusted basis...

US, China Trade War Escalates as Trump Hikes Tariffs on China

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - President Donald Trump’ decision to impose a tariff rate of 10 percent on an additional US$300 billion of Chinese products is...

Insight: Cuts, Leaves Options Open

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - As we expected the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the target for the federal funds rate of a quarter point to...

China’s Trade Surplus US$41B in May

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - China's trade surplus increased to $41.7 billion (Rp592.14 trillion) in May, up to $27.9 billion from the previous month. The year-to-date...

Japan’s Real GDP Growth Slightly Up 2.2% in 1Q

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Japan’s real GDP growth for the first quarter (Q1) of 2019 was revised up marginally to 0.6 percent quarter to quarter...

Indian Elections: PM Modi’s Big Win Signals Strong Indian GDP Growth...

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - The resounding election victory of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s BJP Party with another large parliamentary majority will provide continuity of macroeconomic policy...

Australian Elections: Votes for Sound Fiscal Management

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - The surprise election victory of Scott Morrison’s Liberal-National Coalition in the Australian national elections held on 18th May reflected a mandate from...

Japan’s Economy Growth Beyond Expectation

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - Statistics Japan shows that the country' economy advanced unexpectedly by 0.5 percent quarter-on-quarter in the three months to March of 2019,...

Escalating US, China Technology and Trade War Adds Storm Clouds

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - The combined impact of the United States (US) - China technology war and the escalating US-China trade war is clouding the...

IHS Markit: Major CBs Will Tightening Monetary Policy

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) - The acceleration in global growth that occurred in 2017 led some key central banks to begin a steady—albeit slow—tightening of monetary policy,...

IHS Markit: Global Economic Rebound Seems Impossible

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) – Data from the world's largest economy shows that there was a recent slump in growth in March, where JPMorgan's Global Composite...

China’s Current Account Surplus in 4Q 2018 by Strong Exports

JAKARTA (TheInsiderStories) – China posted a current account surplus of US$54.6 billion in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2018, a 134.3 percent increase from...