Hong Kong, November 14, 2013 -- Moody's Investors Service says that Asia's
structured finance market -- which includes Korea's covered bond, RMBS
and ABS sectors and Singapore's CMBS sector -- will be stable and strong
in 2014 because of their continued high credit quality.
At the same time, the CLO sector will remain robust overall, but will
show signs of deterioration in some markets.
Moody's conclusions were contained in its just-released report, entitled
"Asia (Ex-Japan) Covered Bonds, RMBS, ABS, CMBS, and CLO: Outlook for
2014." Moody's subscribers can access this report via the link provided
at the end of this press release.
"In Korea, we expect that mortgage loans in new covered bond and RMBS
transactions will be of good and stable credit quality because of
underlying mortgage loans with low loan-to-value ratios and an increased
number of fixed-rate loans," says Kan Leung, a
Moody's Assistant Vice President and Analyst.
"In addition, government measures to control the growth of household
debt, a stronger GDP growth forecast for Korea in 2014 and the low
interest rate environment provide support for our stable outlook for
Korean transactions, despite the high levels of household debt," adds
Leung.
Accordingly, for Korea, delinquency rates for receivables in outstanding
RMBS and ABS pools are unlikely to rise significantly.
"In Singapore, CMBS transactions benefit from low loan-to-value ratios
and high debt service coverage ratios. We also expect the strong
sponsorship of Singapore real estate investment trusts to encourage
stable collateral performance," says Joe Wong, a Moody's Assistant Vice
President and Analyst.
"In addition, while sound fundamentals will support stable rental and
occupancy rates in Singapore's retail malls, office buildings and
industrial buildings, shopping malls should exhibit greater stability in
rental and occupancy rates than offices and industrial buildings," adds
Wong.
"On the CLO sector in Asia, the credit quality of such transactions
remains good, but is deteriorating in some regions because of the
increasing costs of borrowing for corporations in India and China and
the depreciation of the Indian rupee," says Elaine Ng, a Moody's Vice
President and Senior Analyst.
Nonetheless, Moody's report points out that projected default rates
remain low, and forecasts of macroeconomic data show continuous GDP
growth in major emerging markets.
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